louisa crawford
November 21, 2025 17:31
AAVE price predictions suggest a recovery to $214 within 4-6 weeks, but there is downside risk to $120 for now. Technical analysis revealed that an oversold situation could trigger a pullback.
AAVE Price Prediction: Technical Reversal Signal Points to $214 Recovery Target
Aave (AAVE) is at a critical juncture as technical indicators for the DeFi protocol’s native token are flashing mixed signals. Trading at $158.82 with bearish momentum dominating the short-term charts, our AAVE price forecast suggests that a potential reversal could push the price toward $214 within the next 4-6 weeks, despite imminent downside risks.
AAVE Price Prediction Overview
• AAVE short-term goal (1 week): $175-$185 (+10-16%) – Initial rebound from oversold levels • Aave medium-term forecast (1 month): Range of $195-$225 – Recovery towards moving average resistance line • Important levels to break for bullish continuation: $192.62 (20-day SMA) • Important support if bearish: $147.13, major support is $120
Latest Aave price predictions by analysts
The latest analyst forecasts show a divergent outlook, reflecting current market uncertainty. AMB Crypto’s short-term forecast with a $214.52 target is broadly in line with our technical assessment, while CoinCodex’s $192.51 forecast appears conservative considering the oversold situation.
However, 30rates.com’s bearish forecast for Aave to fall to $120 by the end of the month represents the most worrying scenario, especially since AAVE is currently trading near Bollinger Band support at $152.47. The large difference between long-term forecasts, from Coinbase’s conservative $294.38 to Changelly’s ambitious $340.73, suggests significant uncertainty regarding Aave’s fundamental trajectory.
The consensus appears to be cautiously optimistic about a medium-term recovery, with most analysts expecting AAVE to recover above $200 levels in the coming weeks, supporting our core AAVE price prediction thesis.
AAVE Technical Analysis: Preparing for an oversold rebound
The current technical situation strongly suggests that AAVE has reached oversold territory, which typically precedes a meaningful pullback. Although the RSI reading of 33.81 is within the neutral to oversold range, the token’s position is only 0.08 above the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that extreme selling pressure may be exhausted.
The MACD histogram at -2.2582 confirms that the bearish momentum remains intact, but a divergence between price movement indicators and momentum indicators is often a sign of an impending reversal. Significant resistance overhead will occur if AAVE breaks below all major moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $170.98 being the first technical hurdle.
Volume analysis reveals $47.7 million in 24-hour trading activity, suggesting there is ample liquidity for a move in any direction. The average true range of $19.38 indicates increased volatility that could amplify a technical breakout or breakdown.
Most importantly, AAVE is trading 55.61% below its 52-week high of $357.78, creating a compelling risk-reward relationship for patient buyers looking to ride out the potential for further downside.
Aave Price Target: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
The bullish case for AAVE
Our primary bullish AAVE price objective is centered around the $214.52 level identified by recent analyst forecasts. This target corresponds to the midpoint between the current price and the 20-day moving average resistance line.
For this scenario to play out, AAVE must first regain the immediate resistance at $168.06 (yesterday’s high) and then break above $175. Subsequently, continued buying pressure could drive the price towards the $170.98 7-day SMA and gain momentum towards the key AAVE price target of $214.
The final bullish target is $237.07 (immediate technical resistance), which would represent a 49% upside from current levels. This scenario requires defending the strength of the broader DeFi sector and the $147.13 support level.
Aave Bearish Risk
The main downside risk would materialize if AAVE breaks below the immediate support at $147.13, paving the way to the $120 target predicted by 30rates.com. If the broader crypto market comes under significant selling pressure, Aave’s bearish predictions will become reality.
A break below $120 would see a major support zone at $79.51, implying a potential downside of more than 50% from current levels. This extreme scenario would likely coincide with the broader DeFi sector’s woes and require a fundamental deterioration in Aave’s protocol metrics.
Should you buy AAVE now? Entry strategy
Based on our Aave technology analysis, the current risk-reward profile favors patient accumulation with tight risk management. The optimal purchase or sale decision for AAVE depends on your personal risk tolerance and investment schedule.
Conservative entry strategy: Wait for volume confirmation above $168 before establishing a position, initially targeting 25% exposure and planning to add strength above $175.
Aggressive entry strategy: Start accumulating between $150 and $158 with a stop loss order below $147. This approach captures the maximum upside if the oversold pullback theory proves correct.
risk management: All positions keep stop losses below $147.13 and plan to take profits at $185, $205 and $225 levels to capture profits during the expected recovery period.
AAVE Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive AAVE price forecast calls for a recovery towards $214 within 4-6 weeks, a potential 35% upside from current levels. In this prediction, medium confidence Based on oversold technical conditions and supportive analyst sentiment.
Important indicators to monitor include an RSI move above 40, MACD histogram turning positive, and a successful defense of the $147.13 support level. Expanding trading volume to over 50 million per day would further support our bullish thesis.
Traders should brace for early volatility as AAVE works through overhead resistance, but the combination of oversold conditions and analyst price targets support the outlook for a medium-term recovery. The timeline for this Aave forecast extends to December 2025, with a key inflection point expected within the next two to three weeks.
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