zach anderson
January 24, 2026 10:01
Aave (AAVE) is trading at $156.65, with analysts expecting $190-195 by February 2026, but a bearish MACD and oversold conditions suggest short-term caution around the $151 support.
Aave (AAVE) is trading at $156.65, down 0.18% over the past 24 hours, weathering a difficult technical environment. Despite short-term headwinds, multiple analysts maintain a bullish medium-term outlook, with consistent price targets emerging for the decentralized lending protocol’s native token.
AAVE Price Prediction Overview
• Short-term goals (1 week): Range from $162 to $165
• Medium-term outlook (1 month): Range from $190 to $195
• Bullish breakout level: $164.20
• Important support: $151.04
What crypto analysts are saying about Aave
Despite current market volatility, recent analyst coverage has focused on similar price targets. felix pinkston noted on January 16, “AAVE is showing bullish potential heading into the $190-$195 range by February 2026, and the current price of $173.76 provides an entry opportunity despite a neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum.”
peter chan offered more detailed targets on January 17th, stating, “Short-term target (1 week): $182-184; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $190-195 range; Bullish breakout level: $184.75; Key support: $164.51.”
Most recently, Ted Hisokawa On January 21, he acknowledged that the technical situation is mixed, saying, “AAVE price forecasts show mixed signals with analysts targeting $190-$195 by February 2026, but current technical indicators suggest caution around the $155 support level.”
The consistent target range of $190-$195 across analysts suggests institutional investors’ confidence in Aave’s medium-term prospects, even though short-term technicals remain difficult.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current technical indicators paint a cautious picture for AAVE in the short term. The RSI is 42.43, indicating a neutral momentum that is neither oversold nor overbought. However, a MACD histogram of 0.0000 suggests that bearish momentum is stalling but not reversing.
Aave’s position within the Bollinger Bands is particularly notable, with a %B reading of 0.1507 indicating that the token is trading near the lower support at $152.26. This positioning often precedes either a rebound towards the middle band at $166.83 or a break below the key support level.
Moving average analysis reveals important trends across time frames. AAVE is trading below all major moving averages, with the SMA 7 at $159.51, SMA 20 at $166.83, and SMA 50 at $169.86, all acting as overhead resistance. The large difference from the SMA 200 of $239.66 indicates that the token has fallen significantly from its previous highs.
Key support and resistance levels have crystallized with strong support at $151.04 and immediate resistance at $164.20. The average true range of $8.64 suggests moderate volatility, offering opportunities for both breakout and breakout scenarios.
Aave Price Target: The Case for Bulls vs. Bears
bullish scenario
Optimistic AAVE price predictions depend on a successful recovery of the $164.20 resistance level. Once this happens, the path toward the analyst’s goals becomes clearer. A sustained move above this level would likely target the middle of the Bollinger Band at $166.83, followed by the same level at the SMA 20.
From there, Aave’s forecast points to a range of $182 to $184, identified by analysts as the next key resistance cluster. A successful test of these levels would validate the medium-term target of $190-$195, implying a 21-24% upside from current levels.
Technical confirmation of this bullish scenario would require the RSI to rise above 50, the MACD to turn positive, and trading volume to continue above the recent average of $6.8 million.
bearish scenario
The downside for AAVE is centered on its failure to sustain the $151.04 support level. Given that the current position is close to the lower end of the Bollinger Band and the momentum indicators are weak, the breakdown could accelerate quickly.
The initial downside target will focus on the $145-$148 range, which represents the next logical support zone based on the previous trading range. A more severe correction could test levels around $130-$135, but this would likely require widespread weakness in the crypto market.
Risk factors include continued institutional selling pressure, regulatory concerns regarding DeFi protocols, and potential technology sell-offs if key support levels fail.
Should I buy AAVE? entry strategy
For investors considering AAVE positions, the current technical setup suggests that patience may be rewarded. Optimal entry strategies include waiting for a clear break above $164.20 on volume confirmation or a successful test to bounce back from the $151.04 support level.
Conservative buyers might consider dollar-cost averaging in the $152-$158 range, with a hard stop loss below $148 to limit the downside. More aggressive traders may wait until momentum is confirmed above the $164.20 breakout level before entering a position.
Position sizing must take into account the increased volatility implied by the $8.64 ATR value, and given the mixed technical situation, risk management is key.
conclusion
The AAVE price prediction situation represents a story of two time frames. Short-term technical analysis suggests continued consolidation or potential weakness towards the $151 support, but the analyst consensus sets a target of $190-$195 by February 2026, indicating that medium-term optimism remains.
The key catalyst will be whether AAVE can reclaim the $164.20 resistance level and rebuild bullish momentum. Until then, Aave’s forecast remains cautiously neutral with a medium-term bullish bias, depending on broader market conditions and the momentum of the protocol’s continued development.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative in nature and do not constitute investment advice. Please be sure to conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Image source: Shutterstock
