5 Python Libraries for Advanced Time Series Forecasting
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introduction
Predicting the future has always been the holy grail of analysis. Time series forecasting is often the driving force behind critical decisions, such as optimizing supply chain logistics, managing energy grid loads, and predicting financial market fluctuations. However, while the concept of using past data to predict future values is simple, execution is notoriously difficult. Real data rarely follows the clean linear trends found in introductory textbooks.
Fortunately, the Python ecosystem has evolved to meet this demand. The landscape has moved from pure statistical packages to rich libraries that integrate deep learning, machine learning pipelines, and classical econometrics. But with so many options, choosing the right framework can be difficult.
This article cuts through the noise and focuses on: 5 powerful Python libraries Specifically designed for advanced time series forecasting. Go beyond the basics and explore tools that can handle high-dimensional data, complex seasonality, and exogenous variables. For each library, we provide an overview of its great features and a concise “Hello World” code snippet to help you quickly understand.
1. Statistical model
statistical model provides best-in-class models for transient and multivariate time series forecasting, primarily based on statistical and econometric techniques. It also provides explicit controls for seasonality, exogenous variables, and trend components.
This example shows how to import and use the library’s SARIMAX model (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with External Regressor).
Imported from statsmodels.tsa.statespace.sarimax SARIMAX model = SARIMAX(y, exog=X, order=(1,1,1),seasonal_order=(1,1,1,12)) res = model.fit() forecast = res.forecast(steps=12, exog=X_future)
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from statistical model.Tsa.state space.Sarimax import Sarimax model = Sarimax(y, Exog=×, order=(1,1,1), Seasonal order=(1,1,1,12)) less = model.fit() forecast = less.forecast(step=12, Exog=X_future) |
2. Ski Time
fan of scikit-learn?Good news! ski time It framework-wise mimics the style of popular machine learning libraries and is suitable for advanced prediction tasks, enabling panel and multivariate prediction through machine learning model reduction and pipeline configuration.
for example, make_reduction() The function takes a machine learning model as a base component and applies recursion to perform multiple step-ahead predictions. note that fh is the “forecast horizon”; n step and X_future This means that when a model utilizes an external attribute, the future value of that external attribute is included.
Import make_reduction from sktime.forecasting.compose import RandomForestRegressor from sklearn.ensemble Predictor = make_reduction(RandomForestRegressor(), Strategy=”recursive”) Predictor.fit(y_train, X_train) y_pred = Forecaster.predict(fh=(1,2,3), X=X_future)
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from ski time.predict.compose import makeup reduction from Scran.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor forecaster = makeup reduction(RandomForestRegressor(), strategy=“recursive”) forecaster.fit(y_train, X_train) y_pred = forecaster.predict(Huh=(1,2,3), ×=X_future) |
3. Darts
of darts The library stands out for its simplicity compared to other frameworks. Its high-level API combines classical and deep learning models to address probabilistic and multivariate prediction problems. It also effectively captures past and future covariates.
This example shows how to use Darts’ implementation of the N-BEATS model (Neural-Based Augmented Analysis for Interpretable Time Series Forecasting). This is an accurate choice for handling complex time patterns.
Import from darts.models NBEATSModel Model = NBEATSModel(input_chunk_length=24, output_chunk_length=12, n_epochs=10) model.fit(series, verbose=True) Prediction = model.predict(n=12)
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from darts.model import NBEATS model model = NBEATS model(input_chunk_length=twenty four, output chunk length=12, n_epochs=10) model.fit(series, redundant=truth) forecast = model.predict(n=12) |
5 Python Libraries for Advanced Time Series Forecasting: A Simple Comparison
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4. PyTorch predictions
For high-dimensional and large-scale prediction problems using huge amounts of data, PyTorch Prediction This is a solid choice that incorporates cutting-edge predictive models such as Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFT) and tools for model interpretability.
The following code snippet simplifies the use of the TFT model. Although not explicitly stated, models in this library typically TimeSeriesDataSet (In the example, dataset fulfill its role).
from pytorch_forecasting import TemporalFusionTransformer tft = TemporalFusionTransformer.from_dataset(dataset) tft.fit(train_dataloader) pred = tft.predict(val_dataloader)
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from pytorch_forecasting import temporal fusion transformers tft = temporal fusion transformers.from_dataset(dataset) tft.fit(train_dataloader) Pred = tft.predict(val_dataloader) |
5. Gluon TS
lastly, Gluon TS is a deep learning-based library specialized in probabilistic forecasting, ideal for handling uncertainty in large time series datasets with non-stationary characteristics.
Finally, we conclude with an example showing how to import GluonTS modules and classes. It trains a deep autoregressive model (DeepAR) for probabilistic time series forecasting that predicts a distribution of possible future values rather than a single point prediction.
Import DeepAREstimator from gluonts.model.deepar Import from gluonts.mx.trainer Trainer estimator = DeepAREstimator(freq=”D”,prediction_length=14,trainer=Trainer(epochs=5)) Predictor = estimator.train(train_data)
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from Gluont.model.deeper import DeepAREstimator from Gluont.MX.trainer import trainer estimator = DeepAREstimator(frequency=“D”, Prediction length=14, trainer=trainer(epoch=5)) predictor = estimator.train(train data) |
summary
Choosing the right tool from this arsenal depends on the specific tradeoffs between interpretability, training speed, and data scale. While classic libraries like Statsmodels provide statistical rigor, modern frameworks like Darts and GluonTS are pushing the boundaries of what deep learning can achieve with time series data. There are rarely “one size fits all” solutions for advanced forecasting, so we recommend using these snippets as a starting point to benchmark multiple approaches against each other. Experiment with different architectures and extrinsic variables to see which library best captures the nuances of your signal.
Tools are available. Now is the time to turn that historical noise into actionable insights for the future.
