BTC Price Prediction: Bitcoin Eyes $118,000 as target key $116,200 Resistance Loom



Rebeca Moen
August 27, 2025 10:04

BTC’s price forecast shows a potential gathering of $118,000 if Bitcoin exceeds the significant resistance of $116,200.



BTC Price Prediction: Bitcoin Eyes $118,000 as target key $116,200 Resistance Loom

Overview of BTC price forecast

BTC Short-Term Goal (1 week):$116,200-$118,000 (+5-6% upside potential) • Bitcoin Medium Term Prediction (1 month): trading range from $108,000 to $122,000• Important levels to break for bullish continuation: $116,200 (38.2% Fibonacci resistance) • Critical support in case of bearishness: $108,666 (instant) / $108,324 (strong support)

Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts

Recent Bitcoin forecast data reveals BTC’s cautious but optimistic outlook from contrast data. The latest BTC price forecast on August 24th identified $116,200 as a significant level of resistance, consistent with a Fibonacci retracement of 38.2%. This analysis shows Bitcoin bounces off its $112,000 support zone, demonstrating the resilience of its current market structure.

The consensus among analysts points to neutral market sentiment with balanced liquidity conditions. Money flow index readings at 57 and RSI levels between 42 and 45 in the short time frame suggest that the market will not be oversold or oversold, creating potential breakout conditions in either direction.

Comparing these forecasts with current technical data, Bitcoin is currently trading at $110,994, just below the forecasted resistance zone, but remains positioned above the significant $110,800 support level identified in previous forecasts.

BTC Technical Analysis: Setup for Potential Breakouts

Current technical analysis of Bitcoin reveals a compressed trading environment that typically precedes a significant price movement. The BTC trade is $110,994, with the cryptocurrency at around 10% below its 52-week high of $123,306, indicating a room for upward movement if bullish momentum appears.

The RSI read at 41.13 suggests that Bitcoin is in neutral territory and not being oversold or forced to buy. This positioning often precedes the ongoing trend movement. However, the MACD histogram of -714.0994 shows bearish momentum and creates conflicting signals that require careful analysis.

The position of Bitcoin against the Bollinger Band (%B of 0.1158) indicates that the cryptocurrency is trading near the lower band support. The current setup reflects the previous integration phase that precedes the key pricing movement.

A volume analysis from Binance shows a $1.83 billion analysis of 24-hour trading activities, providing adequate liquidity for institutional participation. The average true range of $3,149 suggests normal volatility levels for both compression and extension.

Bitcoin price target: Bull and Bear scenario

In the case of BTC bullish

The major BTC price targets for bullish scenarios focus on the $116,200 resistance level consistently identified in recent analyst forecasts. A critical break above this level could spark momentum at $118,000, representing a 6.3% upside from the current level.

If Bitcoin can regain its 20-day SMA for $115,979, it will strengthen bullishness and show short-term emotional changes. Beyond $118,000, the next important resistance appears at $122,465 (Upper Bollinger Band), offering a potential gain of 10.4%.

Technical requirements for bullish scenarios include RSI moving above 50, MACD histograms rotate positively, and amounts of persistence above the current daily average. The $100,995 200-day SMA provides strong foundational support for upward movements.

Bitcoin’s bearish risk

This bearish scenario for Bitcoin predictions includes $108,666 for failures below immediate support. Such a move could target a strong support zone of $108,324, representing a 2.4% downside risk from current levels.

With more serious bearish results, the Bitcoin test can test psychological levels of $100,000. This is in close agreement with the 200-day SMA. This scenario requires sustained sales pressure and wider market degradation.

Risk factors include continuous MACD divergence, RSI not exceeding 40, and reduced volume during potential gatherings. External factors such as regulatory development and macroeconomic changes can accelerate bearish scenarios.

Should I buy BTC now? Entry strategy

Based on current Bitcoin technical analysis, the layered entry approach offers the best risk-adjusted opportunity. For aggressive traders, the current price level is around $110,994, offering entry points with stop loss of $108,324, providing a favorable risk reward ratio.

Conservative investors should wait for a confirmed break of more than $112,000 in volume checks before starting a position. This approach reduces downside risk while capturing most of the predictive movement towards the BTC price target of $116,200.

Given the conflicting technical signals, location sizing must remain conservative. A 2-3% portfolio allocation allows meaningful exposure while managing negative risks. The scale-in strategy works well in the current environment and adds to a downward position towards $109,000-$110,000.

Stop loss levels should be below $108,000 for the new position. This represents a clear break at the technical support level. If BTC reaches $118,000, profit acquisition will begin at nearly $115,500, with a full exit strategy implemented.

Conclusion of BTC price forecast

Current BTC price forecasts suggest a careful optimistic outlook for a moderate level of confidence. Bitcoin appears to be placed for testing a critical resistance level of $116,200 within the next 7-10 days.

Key indicators to monitor include over 45 RSI momentum, improved MACD histograms, and sustained trading volumes exceeding $1.5 billion a day. Without breaking the $116,200 resistance, there could be a consolidation of between $108,000 and $115,000 in a few weeks.

This Bitcoin forecast timeline is 2-4 weeks, with initial resistance tests expected within the first week. Traders need to remain flexible as the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market can accelerate or delay these forecasts. As long as Bitcoin maintains support of over $108,000, the overall bullish bias remains intact, and it will descend towards this level of potential purchase opportunity for those looking to buy and sell BTC based on technical merits.

Image source: ShutterStock




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